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5 Reasons why Australia will not win the Cricket World Cup

Punjab News Express | May 21, 2019 06:07 PM

Australia has always been seen as the strongest contenders for the World Cup Title but they are not the favorites anymore this World Cup.

According to the 2019 World Cup schedule, Australia will play their opening match against Afghanistan on 1 June 2019 in Bristol. Australia is not as strong a team as they were in the past and below are reasons strengthening this stand.

  1. Recent ODI form

Australia has won only 2 ODI series out of the last 8 they have played. They have beaten India and Pakistan in India and UAE respectively. Before that, they lost consecutive 6 series against India twice, England twice, South Africa and New Zealand. Out of those 6 losses, 3 have come in Australia.

This is the first time in many years that an Australian side has been battered in such a manner in any form of international cricket. Due to this poor form, their ICC ODI Team Ranking has dropped to fifth behind England, India, South Africa, and New Zealand.

  1. Inexperienced spin attack

Australia has picked only two full-time spinners in their 15-man squad for the World Cup. These two spinners are the off-spinner Nathan Lyon and the leggie Adam Zampa. Lyon has played only 25 ODIs whereas Zampa, too, is inexperienced in the ODI format having played only 44 matches.

The England and Wales Cricket Board has suggested that the pitches will be belters and they are even expecting scores over 400 in the tournament. This is when the spinners will come into play to lower the pace of the game. However, the spinners need to be experienced enough to stop the batsmen from rotating the strike and keep the scoreboard moving.

  1. Key players not in ODI touch

Australia’s key players like David Warner, former captain Steve Smith and Mitchell Starc have not been playing ODIs for quite some time now.

Warner last played an ODI in January 2018. It’s been 20 months since then. His last ODI half-century came in October 2017. Coming on to Smith, he too played his last ODI in January 2018. But, his last ODI half-century dates back to September 2017. Last but not the least, the left-arm pacer Mitchell Starc has not played an ODI since November 2018. He has not picked 4 or more wickets in an innings since January 2018.

Clearly, the top three players from the Aussie side are short of ODI practice.

  1. Track record in England

The Australian team has played 932 matches in ODI history. They have won 566, lost 323, tied 9 and 34 matches have not produced a result. They enjoy a winning percentage of 60.33 in ODIs.

However, their ODI performances in England have not been so good. Their winning percentage drop while playing in the country. Out of the 103 ODIs they have played in England, they could win only 49. 8 out of those 49 wins have come against minnows like Bangladesh, Canada, Scotland, U.S.A and Zimbabwe. This drops their winning percentage to 47.57 and just 43.16 neglecting the wins against minnows.

  1. Drop in batting averages of Australia’s top batsmen in England

None of the Australian players could come within the proximity of scoring the most runs in world cup last time, yet they managed to clinch the title but it won’t be a similar story this time. The top 4 batsmen of the Australian side are captain Aaron Finch, his probable opening partner David Warner, Usman Khawaja and Steve Smith. Three of these batsmen have lower batting averages while playing in England than their overall batting averages.

Finch has scored 465 runs in 15 matches at an average of 35.76 and has scored just one century. His overall batting average is 39.33.

Warner has managed 248 runs in 10 matches with his highest score being 59. His averages are 31 in England and 43.43 overall.

Smith has scored 365 runs in 14 matches with 70 being his highest score. His averages are 33.18 in England and 41.84 overall. The southpaw Usman Khawaja has never played an ODI in England.

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