Chandigarh

Climate change is natural cyclic process not man made—says Dr Ritesh Arya

Y.S.RANA | January 21, 2020 11:03 AM

CHANDIGARH: Present weather is blamed for climate warming but Dr Ritesh Arya, international renowned geologist thinks otherwise and says ‘climate change is natural cyclic process consisting of warming and cooling like day and night.’ He claimed that it was based on geological geo-morphological evidences collected from Ladakh and Himachal Himalayas including borewell data collected at different hydro-stratigraphic zones identified by him.  He further says that man causes polluting technology that creates pollution and increases level of CO2 but there is no scientific evidence to support that these cause warming.

His research paper has been accepted by the International Geology Congress for presentation. He will present his research paper in its conference to be held in New Delhi on March 2 next.

Geo-morphological findings of uniformity in cyclicity of 10 erosional structures resembling alphabet “C” discovered from Batholiths of Ladakh by author show that climate change is natural and man or natural (volcanic) activities have no impact on  cyclicity of climate change. These findings were corroborated by Saraswati and Indus glacial retreat (11000BC)and flooding 10000BC, construction and submergence of Ram Sethu 5114 BC, Dwarka submergence 3000BC, paleolake flooding events  in Lamayuru 1012AD, shrinking of Tso Moriri lake, Pangong river a tributary of Shyok becoming Lake , Leh Floods 2010, all these events were result of glacial melting in Himalayas induced by global warming.

Paper uses this data to make geomathematical model explaining future cyclicity of climate change and its impact on water, energy and building sustainable habitat. If we consider last ice age to be around 11718 years from present based on ice cores from Arctic then each Climate cycle is approximately 1338.6 years. Moreover, evidences suggest that climate change curve is curvilinear like alphabet C and not the hockey stick curve proposed by earlier workers.

Author observed 10 such cycles in the site,8 complete and 2 half cycle. Geomathematical modeling of these paleoclimatic signatures show that after every 4 cycles there is a half cycle. According to this model each complete cycle is of 1338.6 years and half cycle is 669.3 years.

Based on this model he has been trying to correlate the paleo climatic and geological events in the past and found that lot of events can be explained by Aryas C cycles. and presently we are in warming maxima time of climate change cycle gradually moving into the cooling phase finally culminating into ice age in 2341 years, represented by the lower part of alphabet C.

Transferring this sentence geologically means that since there is less water in the system during ICE age so there is less erosion hence we get starting and end of C curve but as the temperature increases the rate of erosion increases hence the curvilinear depressions are created making the upper half of the warming cycling center of alphabet C is marked by warming maxima. Then there is again gradual transformation from warming to cooling and as the water in the system decreases there is less erosion therefore we get a geomorphological feature which resembles the lower half of alphabet C finally ending into the ICE age.  So paleoclimatic signatures in Ladakh Himalaya which resembles alphabet C , for the first time geologically and scientifically explains cooling, warming and again cooling phase in nature to be a natural climate cyclic process.

Taphonomical analysis of these C curves in massive Granites show great role of lithology and geomorphology in preservation and understanding the cyclicity of these climate signatures which have been beautifully preserved in the Ladakh Batholith in NW Himalaya.  He has been trying to correlate the paleo climatic and geological events in the past and found that lot of events can be explained by Aryas C cycles.  Important question now is which part of the C cycle are we now. Seeing the paleoclimatic signature in the Batholiths of Ladakh we are presently in the warming maxima times and are curvilinearly moving into the cooling phase finally culminating into ICE age in 2341 years, represented by the lower part of alphabet C. So enjoy global warming by building sustainable habitats in geologically favorable locations because the next warming maxima will be in 3014.

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